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How Safe is Commercial Flight?
Written by Dr. Reid Wilson   
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Jan 02, 2009 A +  A -  RESET  

If you are going to worry about dying, there are many more probable ways to die than on a commercial jet. Take a look at the chart below, which shows the chance of fatalities on a commercial flight compared to other causes of death in the United States. Notice that you are more likely to die from a bee sting than from a commercial flight. The number one killer in the United States is cardiovascular disease, with about eight hundred and eighty-five thousand deaths per year. Each of us has about a fifty percent (50%) chance of dying of cardiovascular disease. Whenever we fly, we have a one one-hundred-thousandth of one percent (.000014%) chance of dying!

Odds of Death

DEATH BY: YOUR ODDS
  • Cardiovascular disease: 1 in 2

  • Smoking (by/before age 35): 1 in 600

  • Car trip, coast-to-coast: 1 in 14,000

  • Bicycle accident: 1 in 88,000

  • Tornado: 1 in 450,000

  • Train, coast-to-coast: 1 in 1,000,000

  • Lightning: 1 in 1.9 million

  • Bee sting: 1 in 5.5 million

  • US commercial jet airline: 1 in 7 million

Sources: Natural History Museum of Los Angeles County, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, University of California at Berkeley


How about accidental deaths? In the chart below you can compare the average number of airline fatalities per year (not including commuter airlines) from 1981 to 1994 with the most recent figures for other forms of accidental death. Again, you can see that flying is relatively insignificant compared to other causes of death.

Number of Accidental Deaths Per Year By Cause

  • 100 on commercial flight

  • 850 by electrical current

  • 1000 on a bicycle

  • 1452 by accidental gunfire

  • 3000 by complications to medical procedures

  • 3600 by inhaling or ingesting objects

  • 5000 by fire

  • 5000 by drowning

  • 5300 by accidental poisoning

  • 8000 as pedestrians

  • 11,000 at work

  • 12,000 by falls

  • 22,500 at home

  • 46,000 in auto accidents

SOURCES: Bureau of Safety Statistics, National Transportation Safety Board

I'm not trying to encourage you to become afraid of your bicycle or of walking down the stairs in your home. My most important point is that no one can anticipate all of your questions about flight safety and the airline industry. You may have specific questions about maintenance or security or pilot error that are not simple to address. I want to assure you that regardless of your worries, you are putting your life in the hands of an industry that has a tremendous record of dedicating its creative intelligence to your safety. And the Federal Aviation Administration, the air traffic controllers, the airline companies, the pilots, the flight attendants, the mechanics, the manufacturers are all striving to make every year safer than the year before within a highly professional industry.

Next time you begin to focus on the possibility of something going wrong on a plane, think about the probability instead. Then you will have little to worry about.

next: What Should You Worry About?



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Last Updated( Apr 16, 2009 )
reviewed by: Harry Croft, MD
Psychiatrist, HealthyPlace.com Medical Director
 

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